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The biggest mistakes investors make your price would keep getting hammered.
Money is an
integral part of our day-to-day life. From the time we start earning till
we die, we are involved with money -- earning, spending, investing,
managing, donating, lending and borrowing.
1. Whether the credentials of the investment opportunity
are really as good as stated.
build considerable wealth |
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ECONOMICS : GDP SURGES IN 4Q, PUSHING UP FY06 GROWTH : JUNE 01, 2006 |
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Economy
surges in 4Q, spurring full FY06 GDP growth
Boost
comes from an unexpected quarter - agriculture
Industrial
output prints at a slightly lower number
Services
remains the big growth driver
Outlook
for the current fiscal year brightens
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Sensex recovers 654 pts to close below 10,500 INDIA TIMES
NEWS NETWORK & AGENCIES
NRI's Open account with $750 off The
Sensex melted like waxwork as it plunged over
1,100 points below the 10,000 level. It was
the day of a bloodbath on the Dalal street.
The 30-share benchmark index fell 1,111.70
points at 9,826.91. |
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Sensex drops another 450 points on selling
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Today’s
sharp fall in the market (the largest ever absolute
points fall in the markets) may lead to a number of
questions with relation to the causes of the fall, the
future direction of the markets and action to be taken
on the same. Causes of the Fall: The main factor that has led to this sudden correction in the markets had been rising concerns amongst global investors with relation to the US Federal Reserve (Fed) continuing to raise interest rates. Rising interest rates has negative implications for global economic growth as well as institutional fund flows. The sudden rise in concerns of rising interest rates has been caused by recent statements by the Fed, indicating that the policy of tightening interest rates could potentially continue going forward based on trends in economic data. This hurt investor sentiment who were expecting some indications of a pause in the rate tightening policy of the Fed. While concerns on interest rates has been the catalyst that has caused this decline, the primary reason for the sharp fall has been the very sharp run up in the markets over the last five months. We have been indicating in our monthly write-ups that the pace of the market rally is clearly unsustainable and should lead to a cautious view on the markets in the shorter-term. We had mentioned in our April ’06 write-up, "We believe that this resilience of the markets is another indication towards a build up of euphoric market sentiment, as market participants tend to focus primarily on positives and negative factors are ignored. In such an environment it becomes difficult to predict the timing of a long-awaited correction, and the market rally could continue for a longer-period than expected. However it is important to keep in mind that a sharp correction should not be ruled out over the short-to-medium term, and that the same occurs most often at a time least expected." We thus believe that the market decline is basically a correction of the very sharp run-up in the markets over the last five months, and concerns on rising interest rates has been the catalyst that has sparked the decline. There has been no significant change in fundamentals and the longer-term fundamental ‘India-story’ continues to remain as strong as before (infact 4Q results of corporate India have been very healthy and better than expectations). Future Direction of the Markets Given that there has been no change in market fundamentals, we continue to have a positive medium-to-long term outlook based on strong fundamentals and strong domestic liquidity. However, the shorter-term outlook on the markets remains uncertain. The call on market direction is primarily a call on global investor sentiment (linked to concerns on interest rates), and it is very difficult to predict trends in the same. We believe that as long as global investor sentiment remains weak, markets could potentially continue on its downward trend. However as witnessed in the past, global investor sentiment can prove to be fickle, and a sudden turn in investor sentiment could lead to a sharp bounce-back in the markets. It is however very difficult to predict the timing of the same. While markets have now corrected approximately 10% from its highs, it is important to keep in mind that this in on the back of a 64% market rally since the lows in October. The correction is thus not that significant in relation to the market rally, and further downside is possible without disturbing the longer-term bull trend. Action to be taken: While further downside in the markets cannot be ruled out, it is important to keep in mind that the markets can bounce back equally sharply and suddenly. We would recommend that investors stay invested through the current bout of volatility and focus on longer term returns on their portfolios. Further declines in the market could be utilized as a good entry point for further investments in equities. ------------------------------------------- ROOT-CAUSE NEW DELHI: Concerned over tax avoidance by foreign institutional investors (FIIs), the government has proposed new guidelines that will try to distinguish stock traders from investors. The new draft guidelines distinguish shares held as stock-in-trade and shares held as investment to plug tax avoidance, particularly by FIIs. Currently, FIIs pay only 10% tax on short-term capital gains. They will have to shell out 41% tax, if they are treated as traders. The Central Board of Direct Taxes has invited comments from all the stakeholders before May 25 on the draft guidelines. However, FIIs have said new draft rules gave discretionary powers to IT officials. The draft guidelines give 15 conditions to assessing officers to determine whether one is stock trader or investor. The guidelines ask the assessing officer to see whether the purchase and sale of securities was allied to one’s usual trade or business. The officer is also asked to assess whether the purchase is made solely with the intention of resale at a profit or for long term appreciation and for earning dividends and interest. He is also to assess whether scale of activity is substantial. |
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